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Controlled coverage evidence · verified 16 Sep 2026
114/194 accepted · 80 fail-closed

114 sovereign countries passed the current four-module Risk Gate review census.

A controlled workflow evaluated all 194 enabled sovereign countries; 80 remained fail-closed. Missing or unverified inputs are not converted into approval, and every accepted result keeps execution_authorized=false.

Review Risk GateEvidence & limits

This evidence did not activate x402, real-money payments, Base mainnet or autonomous execution. Claim boundary: this is a dated controlled-workflow coverage result for the current Risk Gate methodology. It is not an all-country product guarantee, transaction authorization, production SLA, independent security audit or mainnet-launch claim, and it does not imply that every product is deliverable for every accepted country or request shape.

Research & methodology

See how each risk reading is built, changed and checked.

Geomacro publishes geopolitical, macroeconomic and critical-mineral risk separately. This research layer explains the evidence rules, proof lineage, change attribution and validation limits behind those readings without presenting methodology proof as predictive validation or external certification.

Current methodology boundary

Separate public indices, preserved versioned lineage.

The current public Risk Indices project the verified geopolitical, macroeconomic and critical-mineral domain scores from the existing gri-v1.2.0 versioned proof package.

The historical combined GRI remains a versioned proof record. It is not presented as a second live headline score, and the public split does not rewrite historical snapshots or invent a parallel browser calculation.

Core research areas

From evidence to readings you can trace.

Risk Indices methodology

Understand how geopolitical, macroeconomic and critical-mineral risk are presented separately while preserving the versioned GRI v1.2 evidence controls and verified proof lineage behind the current readings.

Open methodology & proof

Proof & reproducibility

Trace the current public Risk Indices to their verified parent snapshot, evidence, calculation inputs, methodology version and integrity hashes.

Verify current Risk Indices

Change attribution

See which domain and event-level contributions moved in the underlying verified methodology instead of relying on an explanation written after the score changed.

Read attribution methodology

Source governance & reliability

Review source eligibility, provenance, independence, contradiction handling, confidence and fail-closed rules that determine what can support a risk reading.

Read source governance

Live intelligence

Research starts from the same current event evidence that users can inspect on the public Risk Intelligence page.

Open intelligence

Public technical reference

Documentation covers product architecture, source governance, the GRI v1.2 parent methodology, Risk Objects, Risk Gate, determinism, commercial boundaries and technical proof.

Start from overview

What research evidence does not prove

Reproducible methodology does not automatically prove commercial source rights, production security, predictive performance, independent certification or customer demand. Those require separate evidence.

About & Trust

Research standard

Keep evidence, interpretation and claims separate.

Observed evidence: source material, timestamps and provenance stay distinguishable from model-derived interpretation.

Model interpretation: severity, confidence, classification and story-correlation decisions carry their own versioned provenance.

Deterministic aggregation: once eligible inputs are fixed, the versioned v1.2 numerical aggregation does not use an LLM call or discretionary manual adjustment.

Validation limits: correlation is not causation. Predictive, audit, certification or institutional-validation claims are made only when the specific preserved evidence supports them.

Need the exact calculation and proof fields?

Use the technical documentation for the versioned GRI v1.2 parent methodology, then inspect the current separate Risk Indices and their retained proof fingerprints.